---
title: How Long Will Your Retirement Savings Last?
description: Building a retirement fund that lasts involves more than just hitting a savings goal. Here's how you can prepare.
authors:
  - name: Kat Tretina
    role: Contributor
    url: https://money.com/author/kat-tretina/
    education: B.A in English and Communications from Elizabethtown College, M.A. in Communications from West Chester University
    at_money_since: 2025
    articles: 33
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  - name: Andrea Agostini Ferrer
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    url: https://money.com/author/andrea-agostini/
    bio: Andrea has been writing for Money Group since 2020. Her articles, which have been featured across a wide variety of publications, have helped our readers navigate multiple areas of personal finance including credit, loans and insurance. She's currently part of our team of insurance experts, specializing in travel and pet insurance.
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published: '2026-11-09T14:58:47.000Z'
modified: '2026-11-09T15:00:42.000Z'
section: Retirement
tags:
  - Retirement
  - retirement planning
  - Sponsored
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canonical: https://money.com/how-long-will-your-retirement-savings-last/
type: Article
source: structured-blocks
---

> **Disclosure:** We research all brands listed and may earn a fee from our partners. Research and financial considerations may influence how brands are displayed. Not all brands are included. [Learn more](https://money.com/page/disclaimer/).

![Senior couple, happy, walking outside in a park](https://img.money.com/2026/09/Explainer-Retirement-Savings-Last.jpg)

Sponsored by:

![](https://s3.consumersadvocate.org/prd/image/image/41219/52d5d394-57ec-462a-bdc0-11fe84d3ace0.webp)

Retirement isn't just a destination. It's a plan for what's possible with New York Life.

[Go to NewYorkLife.com](https://money.com/pr/l96a43a4dad7?ap_referrer=%2Fhow-long-will-your-retirement-savings-last%2F)

## Key Takeaways

- New York Life’s 2026 Wealth Watch survey found that 34% of American workers have delayed retirement or plan to postpone their target retirement date, citing lack of sufficient funds as one of the top reasons.
- The 4% rule is often used to estimate how much you can spend in retirement. This rule suggests that your nest egg can last 30 years if you withdraw 4% of your savings in the first year, then adjust that dollar amount for inflation each following year.
- Though it's a useful estimate, the 4% rule is not a one-size-fits-all solution. Each retiree's financial situation is different and requires a personalized approach.
- Adjusting your budget, modifying your withdrawal rate and bringing in supplemental income are some of the strategies that can help extend your retirement fund.

For millions of Americans, one of the biggest retirement concerns is whether their savings will last. Just 52% of Americans are confident their retirement savings will last their lifetimes, down from 73% in 2025, according to the [Wealth Watch Midyear Outlook](https://www.newyorklife.com/newsroom/2026/americans-seek-financial-stability), a survey by New York Life.

That sharp decline in confidence is understandable, given the rising cost of living and economic uncertainty. While you can't predict exactly how long your savings will last, you can test different financial scenarios and make adjustments to strengthen your plan.

## How long will my retirement savings last?

Getting a rough estimate of how long your retirement savings could last is relatively easy. You can start with an [online retirement calculator](https://www.newyorklife.com/resources/financial-calculators/retirement-savings-calculator), which calculates how much money you'd need to retire using the following information: your current and planned retirement age, income, retirement contributions and estimated retirement length. Some calculators also factor in your investment mix, including how much of your portfolio is invested in stocks and bonds.

You can adjust those numbers to see how your savings hold up under different scenarios — for example, if you retire a few years earlier, save more each month or spend more in retirement.

Still, these projections aren't an exact science. How long your money actually lasts will depend on factors that are difficult to predict, including investment returns, inflation and changes in your expenses and your lifespan.

That's where a financial advisor can help. They can stress-test your retirement plan against a range of scenarios, such as different contribution and withdrawal rates, investment returns and retirement dates, and give you a clearer picture of where your plan is vulnerable and what adjustments could strengthen it.

## What factors affect your retirement savings?

You worked for years and diligently tucked away a portion of your paycheck into your retirement fund. Still, how much you saved isn't the only factor that affects your retirement savings. Here are four variables to keep in mind.

### Inflation

As inflation increases over time, the value of the dollar decreases, so the purchasing power of $500,000 in 2046 will be very different from what it is today.

Inflation is expected to [average 2.5%](https://www.clevelandfed.org/indicators-and-data/inflation-expectations) over the next 10 years, according to federal estimates. You can use that projection to get an idea of how much your everyday expenses could rise over time. It can also help you gauge how much your investments are really earning. Once you subtract inflation from your returns, you can see whether your savings are keeping up with rising costs.

### Investment performance

If you invested your retirement fund in stocks, exchange-traded funds (ETFs), mutual funds and other securities, market performance will affect your account balance and the longevity of your retirement savings.

Your retirement balance can grow and last longer in a strong market when returns are high, while a market downturn can substantially reduce your savings. The timing of poor market returns also matters — if the market dips just as you retire and start making withdrawals, you'd be selling investments at a lower price to cover everyday expenses. Because those funds are no longer in your portfolio, they won't benefit from a future recovery if the market bounces back.

Many investors have the freedom to invest aggressively early in their careers knowing that there's a long time horizon for the money to grow. This can look like putting most of your investing budget toward stocks and less toward stable or cash-like assets such as bonds and certificates of deposit. However, as they approach retirement age, most investors focus on low-risk investments with modest growth. This can look like investing a smaller percentage in the stock market and putting more in stable bonds and cash assets.

In both scenarios, your portfolio remains diversified — what changes is your risk tolerance and how much money you allocate to each type of investment.

### Monthly expenses

Your spending habits are one of the most significant factors that can make or break your nest egg. Start by mapping out your expected living expenses in retirement, including housing, food, transportation, healthcare and entertainment. This can be hard to predict, but a good place to start is to compare the expenses of older households to your own, noting which spending categories increase, decrease or stay the same. For instance, federal spending data shows that households with middle-aged adults (between 45 and 54 years of age) [spend over $17,000 a year](https://fred.stlouisfed.org/release/tables?rid=479&eid=1198652) on transportation, but that number drops to around $9,000 over the age of 65. Compare those numbers to the income you expect to have in retirement, including withdrawals from your 401(k) or individual retirement account (IRA), pension payments and Social Security benefits.

### Unexpected expenses

Unexpected costs, such as healthcare expenses or the need for long-term care, can burn through your savings fast, particularly if you plan on retiring before you're eligible for Medicare.

"With the recent changes to the Affordable Care Act subsidies, early retirement healthcare just got even more expensive than it already was," cautions Ronnie Colvin, certified financial planner and founder of Fractional Planning.

Planning for health insurance, copays, deductibles and long-term care (possibly in the form of long-term care insurance) is a critical part of your retirement strategy.

Other unexpected expenses in retirement include home renovations. Most homes in the United States [aren't built](https://www.census.gov/content/dam/Census/library/publications/2020/demo/p23-217.pdf) to accommodate the country's aging population — for example, hallways aren't wide enough to fit a wheelchair and many homes require the use of stairs to access the bedrooms or the basement. Ideally, homeowners would address these updates before they're necessary and while they're still in the workforce. But if these expenses pop up in retirement, they can take a significant toll on your budget.

## How to extend your retirement fund

If your retirement savings are slightly off target, there are still some adjustments you can make to put them back on track.

### Meet with a financial advisor

“Retirement planning is very personal and what someone needs can vary widely based on their retirement expenses, their goals, their estimated life expectancy and health," says Lawrence Sprung, a certified financial planner and wealth advisor with Mitlin Financial.

Meeting with an advisor — ideally a professional who is bound by fiduciary duty — can help you build a strategy that is customized to you. Even just one or two sessions can help you map out what you need and give you peace of mind.

People who work with a financial professional and own protection products, such as life insurance, report a more positive outlook on retirement than those who do neither, according to New York Life's Wealth Watch Midyear Outlook. Among respondents who worked with an advisor and owned protection products, 43% said they felt hopeful about retirement and 31% said they felt prepared. Among those who did neither, those figures fell to 17% and 8%, respectively.

### Adjust your budget

Once you start living off a fixed income in retirement, you may need to revisit your budget and identify expenses that you can trim or eliminate entirely. Cutting back on subscriptions, memberships or reducing how often you travel can make a meaningful difference over time. In some cases, significant changes may be necessary, such as downsizing to a smaller home.

"Housing and healthcare tend to be the largest expenses in retirement over time, so knowing how that’s going to be handled is key," says Colvin.

### Change your withdrawal rate

The withdrawal rate refers to how much money you'll take out of your retirement funds every year. A common guideline is that you can safely withdraw 4% of your savings in year one of retirement, then adjust that dollar amount for inflation each subsequent year. This guideline is designed to help retirement savings last approximately 30 years.

However, this rule may not work for everyone. The 4% guideline is based on a [study](https://www.financialplanningassociation.org/sites/default/files/2021-04/MAR04%20Determining%20Withdrawal%20Rates%20Using%20Historical%20Data.pdf) published in 1994 by the Journal of Financial Planning, and it doesn't account for different investment portfolios or any years you spend more or less than the inflation rate. Ultimately, the right withdrawal rate depends on your portfolio, your spending and the markets you retire into. In some cases, you may need to opt for a lower rate to keep your nest egg going.

### Supplement your retirement income

Supplementing your retirement funds with extra income puts less pressure on your account. You can pick up part-time or consulting work, or rent out property (if you have it) to build a reliable stream of income.

A financial advisor can also identify other tools that may work as supplemental income, such as annuities, bond ladders, dividend stocks or life insurance.

For example, if you own a whole life insurance policy that has accumulated enough cash value over the years, you may be able to tap into those funds instead of withdrawing money from your investments during a market downturn.

“If markets are down, accessing cash value may allow a policyholder to avoid selling investments at lower values and give those assets more time to recover,” says Frank Citera, head of product development and in-force optimization at New York Life.

That said, these financial tools have their trade-offs and may not work for everyone. Whole life insurance cash value can take years to accumulate and using it may reduce your death benefit or trigger additional costs. Annuity payments can lose purchasing power over time if they aren't adjusted for inflation, while dividend income isn't guaranteed. It's best to go over these options with a financial advisor to weigh the costs, risks and potential benefits of each one and figure out their place in your retirement plan.

## FAQs

### What is the average retirement savings?

The average American household has $333,940 in retirement savings, according to the Federal Reserve's latest Survey of Consumer Finances. However, averages can be misleading because top-earning households pull the figure upward. The median value — the midpoint between households that saved more and those that saved less — offers a more realistic picture. In 2022, the median retirement savings was $87,000.

### How long will $500,000 last in a 401(k)?

In a hypothetical scenario that uses the 4% withdrawal guideline, a $500,000 retirement fund would provide about $20,000 in income during the first year. That dollar amount, adjusted for inflation each year, would last approximately 30 years, but the actual numbers will depend on market conditions, inflation and your unique financial situation.

### How long will $1 million last in retirement?

If you follow the 4% rule for withdrawals, a $1 million retirement fund would generate about $40,000 in the first year of retirement, which would last about 25 to 30 years, adjusted for inflation. That said, these figures are hypothetical estimates; the actual projections will depend on your particular financial profile and the market you retire into.

*New York Life paid for the creation of this article. Money independently wrote and produced the article in accordance with its editorial standards.*

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