---
title: Here's How Much Gas Prices Could Rise After OPEC's Supply Cuts
description: Gas prices are rising after OPEC+ announced cuts to its oil supply, and drivers can expect prices at the pump to increase more this spring.
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published: '2023-04-03T19:05:18.000Z'
modified: '2024-01-10T13:46:51.000Z'
section: Economy and Politics
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![People fueling their cars at a gas station](https://img.money.com/2023/04/News-Gas-Prices-Likely-Rise.jpg)

Drivers should expect gas prices to rise following Sunday's announcement of oil supply cuts from Saudi Arabia and other oil-producing countries in the OPEC+ group.

The price of the average gallon of gas, which currently stands at $3.48, could go up by as much as 15 cents as a result of the cuts, Patrick De Haan, GasBuddy's head of petroleum, said in a [tweet](https://twitter.com/GasBuddyGuy/status/1642633390368120834). Gas prices have increased by about 12 cents in the past month due to "robust demand" from drivers and higher oil prices, [according to AAA](https://gasprices.aaa.com/like-the-temperatures-gas-prices-start-to-rise/).

Crude oil, which accounts for about 53% of what drivers pay for a gallon of gas, was trading at around $80 per a barrel on Monday after shooting up by more than 6% following the announcement, according to the West Texas Intermediate measure.

The price is up about 19% from a recent low just below $67 on March 17. Still, the price of oil is more than 22% lower than it was a year ago, a couple months after Russia’s invasion of Ukraine [sent oil and gas prices soaring](https://money.com/gas-prices-near-record-high-2022/).

Average gas prices are currently at or above $3 per gallon in all 50 states, and it appears unlikely that prices anywhere will drop following the supply cut, which OPEC said will [total 1.6 million barrels per day](https://www.opec.org/opec_web/en/press_room/7120.htm) and is "aimed at supporting the stability of the oil market."

Here's a look at gas prices around the country now, and where they're likely heading:

-   The state with the cheapest gasoline is Mississippi, where the average is $3 a gallon. Seven of the 10 states with the cheapest gas are in the South, where proximity to refineries and lower taxes generally make for lower gas prices.

-   The average gallon costs at least $4 in five states — California ($4.79), Hawaii ($4.78), Arizona ($4.28), Washington ($4.24) and Nevada ($4.19) — and more states could soon join them.

-   Even before the cut, which OPEC says will start in May and last through the end of the year, experts were expecting gas prices to rise this spring.

-   GasBuddy recently reported that a [$4 national average](https://money.com/gas-prices-rise-spring-2023/) is possible by Memorial Day, noting that prices typically rise as temperatures warm.

-   The seasonal trend is related to the annual transition to more expensive summer-grade gasoline, which usually coincides with rising demand as the weather improves and the busiest summer driving months approach.

-   Even if prices rise as forecast, they'll be lower than last summer — when the national average topped [$5 a gallon](https://money.com/gas-prices-fall-30-days/).

[7 Best Car Loan Rates of 2023](https://money.com/best-auto-loan-rates/)

[The Share of New Cars That Are Electric Vehicles Has Tripled in 2 Years](https://money.com/electric-vehicle-sales-rising-market-share/)

[How to Save Money on Gas](https://money.com/how-to-save-money-on-gas/)

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