---
title: Nearly Half of Americans Think We're in a Recession, and They're Saving Up to Survive It
description: Poll results show that 46% of Americans believe the U.S. economy is currently in a recession — and many have started preparing for one.
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    bio: Julia Glum joined Money in 2018 and specializes in covering financial trends that affect everyday Americans' wallets. She also writes Dollar Scholar, a weekly newsletter that teaches young adults how to navigate the messy world of money.
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published: '2023-03-06T18:23:04.000Z'
modified: '2024-01-10T12:51:30.000Z'
section: Economy and Politics
tags:
  - News
word_count: 471
canonical: https://money.com/recession-poll-saving-money/
type: NewsArticle
source: structured-blocks
---

> **Disclosure:** We research all brands listed and may earn a fee from our partners. Research and financial considerations may influence how brands are displayed. Not all brands are included. [Learn more](https://money.com/page/disclaimer/).

![Person holding small sack of cash in front of an oversized downwards pointing arrow chart](https://img.money.com/2023/03/News-Half-Americans-Think-Were-In-Recession.jpg)

Nearly half of Americans believe we’re already in a recession, according to a new survey, and almost as many have actively started preparing for one.

## What the research says

-   Research firm Morning Consult released [poll results](https://morningconsult.com/2023/03/06/americans-preparing-for-recession-shore-up-savings-cut-spending/) Monday showing that 46% of Americans said they think the economy is currently in a recession. Another 22% said that — while they don’t believe a recession is here already — the country will be in one within the next year.

-   The survey, which included responses from more than 2,200 U.S. adults contacted in February, also found that 41% of Americans said they're changing their financial behaviors to prepare for a recession. An additional 41% told Morning Consult that they aren’t able to prepare for one actively but wish they could.

-   Common steps people are taking right now to gird their finances against an economic downturn include building up their [emergency savings](https://money.com/emergency-fund-too-small-inflation/), [cutting back on spending](https://money.com/dollar-scholar-cash-only/) and [stockpiling food](https://money.com/10-items-always-buy-in-bulk/) or supplies.

## Keep in mind

Officially speaking, the U.S. economy is not in a recession — though there are warning signs that an economic slowdown may be on the horizon.

-   What, exactly, a recession is can be hard to pin down. Though a common definition links it to two consecutive quarters of gross domestic product decline, there's actually a group of academics at the National Bureau of Economic Research formally in charge of defining when a recession begins and ends.

-   And *their* [definition of a recession](https://money.com/recession-vs-depression/) is vague: "a significant decline in economic activity that is spread across the economy and that lasts more than a few months," according to the NBER website.

-   Many Americans look to recent layoffs, in the tech sector especially, as evidence that a recession is coming or is perhaps already here — though the overall [job market remains resilient](https://money.com/unemployment-january-jobs-report-stock-market/).

-   The housing market has also taken a hit, with prices falling yet [affordability worsening](https://money.com/housing-affordability-lowest-level-in-history/) due to skyrocketing [mortgage rates](https://money.com/current-mortgage-rates/).

-   While these warning signs are flashing, they do not likely qualify for NBER’s definition of widespread economic decline, as they remain contained to specific sectors.

## The takeaway

While many are convinced a recession is a sure thing, some economists say all is going according to plan. The [Federal Reserve is raising interest rates](https://money.com/fed-interest-rate-hike-february-2023/) to slow the overheated economy and curb inflation.

For example, Mark Zandi, chief economist at Moody’s Analytics, suggests that widespread *perception* of a looming recession might actually help the U.S. avoid one: “Pervasive pessimism” of a recession has led to decreased spending from consumers and businesses, he [recently tweeted](https://twitter.com/Markzandi/status/1632358302708367360).

And that, Zandi said, could be key to getting [inflation](https://money.com/rising-rent-home-costs-high-inflation/) under control — thus sidestepping an official recession.

[The 3 Best Money Moves for March](https://money.com/best-money-moves/)

[Why Millionaires Don't Have to Pay Any More Social Security Taxes This Year](https://money.com/millionaires-social-security-taxes-income-cap/)

[Stock Market Outlook: What to Watch in the Week Ahead](https://money.com/weekly-stock-market-outlook/)

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