According to a new report from the National Association of Realtors (NAR) and Realtor.com, a household earning $75,000 can afford a home that costs $256,000 tops — but only 23% of home listings are priced below that amount at the moment.
Most U.S. households (51%) earn less than $75,000, so the authors of the report say that for the housing market to be in “equilibrium,” we’d need to see a majority of the homes on the market be in the sub-$256,000 range.
Instead, the number of homes in that budget is just a fraction of what would be needed for the market to be truly balanced based on income. And the gap is much worse than it was a few years ago.
What the research says
Before the pandemic, the housing market was skewed toward homes priced outside the budgets of middle-class Americans, but the situation wasn’t nearly as bad. Homeownership has become increasingly unattainable for the middle class in recent years as prices have skyrocketed.
- In April 2018, there were 810,000 home listings within the budget of a buyer earning $75,000. That figure has sunk to just 262,580 as of April 2023 thanks to home price growth and declines in inventory.
- The market is “missing” a total of 320,000 listings under $256,000, according to the report. In 2018, the market was only missing 150,000 listings regarded as affordable to lower-earning households.
What it means for you
The number of homes for sale is increasing somewhat, rising 5% in the past year, but inventory is still low by historical standard as homeowners have some strong incentives against selling.
- Namely, many owners feel “locked in” to their current mortgage due to high interest rates. If they were to sell and buy a new home, they’d have to commit to a much higher mortgage rate with their new loan.
- But the NAR report contends that despite low inventory, the market could be more accessible if the inventory was better balanced and included more affordable homes.
- “Even with the existing level of homes available for sale, the housing affordability and shortage issues wouldn't be so severe if there were enough homes for all income levels,” the report says.