Many companies featured on Money advertise with us. Opinions are our own, but compensation and
in-depth research determine where and how companies may appear. Learn more about how we make money.

Advertiser Disclosure

The purpose of this disclosure is to explain how we make money without charging you for our content.

Our mission is to help people at any stage of life make smart financial decisions through research, reporting, reviews, recommendations, and tools.

Earning your trust is essential to our success, and we believe transparency is critical to creating that trust. To that end, you should know that many or all of the companies featured here are partners who advertise with us.

Our content is free because our partners pay us a referral fee if you click on links or call any of the phone numbers on our site. If you choose to interact with the content on our site, we will likely receive compensation. If you don't, we will not be compensated. Ultimately the choice is yours.

Opinions are our own and our editors and staff writers are instructed to maintain editorial integrity, but compensation along with in-depth research will determine where, how, and in what order they appear on the page.

To find out more about our editorial process and how we make money, click here.

By Kerry Close and Sarah Max
April 12, 2016
Tampa, Fla., has the highest growth forecast in the country—largely because prices are still recovering from the bust.
Tampa, Fla., has the highest growth forecast in the country—largely because prices are still recovering from the bust.
Patti McConville—Alamy

Despite the ongoing recovery, the housing market is still dealing with hangovers from the last boom-and-bust cycle. One of the biggest headaches: an inventory squeeze. Millennials are entering their peak nesting years at a time when the construction of single-family homes still hasn’t recovered from the cutbacks that followed the financial crisis. Nationally, inventory is 9% lower than a year ago, and all but four of the 35 largest markets tracked by Zillow now have fewer homes for sale than at the same time last year. “We’re seeing low inventory in places not usually associated with housing shortages—places like Nashville, Raleigh, and even Kansas City,” says NAR chief economist Lawrence Yun.

The tight market is driving up prices. Home values rose 5.7% in 2015, according to the closely watched Case-Shiller 20-city index. And most economists think prices will keep climbing, at least in the short term: The NAR is calling for a 4.4% increase in existing-home prices this year and 3.4% in 2017; other economists and strategists also put 2016 price growth in the 4% to 5% range.

So how will prices fare over the next half decade? The economists at Moody’s Analytics gave Money their home price projections going out to 2020 for the 20 biggest metros in the country. Check out the graphic to see the forecasts and economic trends in your area.

Read the whole Spring Real Estate Guide:

Advertiser Disclosure

The purpose of this disclosure is to explain how we make money without charging you for our content.

Our mission is to help people at any stage of life make smart financial decisions through research, reporting, reviews, recommendations, and tools.

Earning your trust is essential to our success, and we believe transparency is critical to creating that trust. To that end, you should know that many or all of the companies featured here are partners who advertise with us.

Our content is free because our partners pay us a referral fee if you click on links or call any of the phone numbers on our site. If you choose to interact with the content on our site, we will likely receive compensation. If you don't, we will not be compensated. Ultimately the choice is yours.

Opinions are our own and our editors and staff writers are instructed to maintain editorial integrity, but compensation along with in-depth research will determine where, how, and in what order they appear on the page.

To find out more about our editorial process and how we make money, click here.

EDIT POST